Full Answer
Which states are the swing states?
According to a pre-election 2016 analysis, the thirteen most competitive states were Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Arizona, Georgia, Virginia, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina, and Maine.
Is Texas a conservative state?
Texas remains a majority Republican state as of 2022, with Republicans controlling every statewide office, Republican majorities in the State House and Senate, an entirely Republican Texas Supreme Court, and having two Republican Senators in US Congress.
What is the most Republican state in the United States?
Wyoming was the most Republican state, with 59% of residents identifying as Republican, and only 25% of residents identifying as Democratic.
Which county in Texas is the most conservative?
In recent years, Roberts County has become almost unanimously Republican. In 2008, 92% of voters voted for Republican John McCain versus only 7.92% for Democrat Barack Obama, making it one of the most Republican counties in the United States.
What percentage of early voters in El Paso are women?
As of Wednesday, October 26, 54 percent of early voters in El Paso have been women. If trends from the previous nine presidential elections continue, female voters will consistently vote for the Democratic candidate—Clinton, in this instance—at higher rates than men.
What is a GRI debate?
GRI Debates provide critical insight into the world’s most challenging political risk topics. Through well-balanced opinion based articles, GRI Debates offer a forum for deeper discussion into how major political decisions and security challenges affect markets, investment, and economic growth across the globe.
Who is Lauren Maffeo?
Lauren Maffeo. Lauren Maffeo has reported on and worked within the global tech sector. In 2012, Lauren earned commission from the government of Taiwan to report on the island's media market -- the largest, freest market on the Asian continent.
Will Texas have a Democratic victory in 2016?
The fact remains that a Democratic victory in Texas is unlikely this year. There is no guarantee that voters in these changing demographics will turn out in the numbers needed to shift political power to the left—but if October’s early voting is any indication, the Democrats will not go down without a fight. Even if Texas Republicans win the 2016 battle, data suggests that they might lose the ethnographic war—and in turn, future electoral cycles.
Has Texas ever had a Democrat presidential election?
Historical voting trends in Texas. A Democrat has not won Texas in a presidential election since Jimmy Carter in 1976. And Republicans easily took Texas in the last four U.S. presidential elections; each candidate won by double-digit points.
Is Texas a swing state?
Here is why Texas is considered a “swing state” that could start to turn blue for the first time in four decades. Texas is not often described as a “battleground state.”. Unlike New Hampshire in New England, Florida in the South, and Ohio in the Midwest—“swing states” in which no candidate or party has overwhelming support from those state’s ...
What would a blue Texas mean for Republicans?
What would a blue Texas mean for Republicans? In a word, death. Democrats hold a lock on California and the third-most valuable electoral state, New York. If Texas goes blue, "no Republican will ever again win the White House," Ted Cruz, the recently elected senator from Texas, told The New Yorker. "We won't be talking about Ohio, we won't be talking about Florida or Virginia, because it won't matter. If Texas is bright blue, you can't get to 270 electoral votes. The Republican Party would cease to exist."
What state will the Democrats hold a lock on?
In a word, death. Democrats hold a lock on California and the third-most valuable electoral state, New York. If Texas goes blue, "no Republican will ever again win the White House," Ted Cruz, the recently elected senator from Texas, told The New Yorker.
Is Texas going to be a swing state in four years?
Is Texas really going to be a swing state in four years? No. While the Latino population is indeed growing in Texas, "white Texans keep getting more Republican," says Nate Cohn at The New Republic. "With 75-plus percent of the white vote, Republicans will be able to endure incremental increases in the Hispanic share of the electorate for a long, long time." Unless Democrats can start winning a lot more than 25 percent of the state's white vote, Democrats may not have a fighting chance at Texas until 2024 or 2028.
What are the trends in Texas during the Trump era?
The national trends at work during the Trump era are also changing Texas. The coronavirus pandemic has ravaged the state, killing almost 20,000 people and slowing the economy. Black and Latino voters in Texas, as elsewhere in the country, have suffered disproportionately from the effects of the pandemic.
What are the problems with Texas Republicans?
Texas Republicans have worked hard to raise economic barriers to voting, passing strict voter-ID laws, refusing to allow voters to register online, making it extremely difficult for third parties to register voters, and gerrymandering the state so effectively as to lock Democrats out of power.
What did the Democratic Party do in 2018?
Democrats’ victories in 2018 shifted control of a number of local offices, which allowed them to make voting in those jurisdictions easier. Years of work from the Democratic Party and local activists, aiming to turn out left-leaning voters, have started to pay off.
How long is the early voting period in Texas?
Texas Governor Greg Abbott also expanded the early-voting period from one week to two weeks (much to the frustration of his own party, which sued him over it ), although he later tried to suppress votes in populous counties by allowing them to have only one ballot dropbox each.
Is Biden benefiting from local races?
“In a lot of the discussion in Texas, that seems to flip. Biden is benefiting from local and statewide races. That’s a really interesting phenomenon that’s a little bit unique here.”
Who is Adam Serwer?
November 3, 2020. About the author: Adam Serwer is a staff writer at The Atlantic, where he covers politics. No one knows what is going to happen in Texas on Election Day. And it’s been decades since anyone could say that.
Is Texas purple?
Democrats have been hoping for Texas to become purple for decades —the state’s demographics are similar to California’s, but its white population is much more conservative, and its voting population less diverse than the state at large.
