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what are the odds of flopping a set

by Murl Torp Published 3 years ago Updated 2 years ago
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With any paired hole card
hole card
The Hole Cards are the cards that are dealt face down so that only the player can see them. Poker games of virtually every variant begin with a round of hole cards being dealt to each player.
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combination, you have about a 10.8% chance of flopping exactly a set. This translates to about 9.25-to-1 odds against flopping a set.
Oct 19, 2021

Full Answer

What are the odds of flopping a set in poker?

When you hold a pocket pair, the odds of flopping a set are 7.5-1, or roughly 12%. It's important to know the odds, as many people will try to "set mine" when playing Texas Hold'em.

What are the odds of making a good flop with Kings?

The odds for that to happen are 1 in 26. You're almost always better off disregarding this worst-case scenario, but sometimes really good players can make impressive folds with kings before the flop.

How often do you flop a pair with a set?

Every ambitious poker player should know this number by heart: roughly 12% of the time or once every 9 times you see a flop with your pair. A scenario many poker players are afraid of is the dreaded set over set: you flop a set but one of your opponents flops a better set. Although quite unlikely, this scenario is not that uncommon.

What are the odds of losing in a set over set situation?

So if you feel are though you took a really bad beat after losing in a set-over-set situation, you most certainly did, as you had a 1% chance of losing in that fashion when you were dealt your pocket pair. Note: the 1% likelihood of a set-over-set situation only applies when you are dealt a pocket pair.

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How often will you flop a set?

Holding a pocket pair, then, how often can you expect to hit that set? On the flop, there's about an 11.8% chance you'll flop at least a set (that includes full houses and quads, too). That means for set miners like you, the flop is going to be good for you only about once every eight times.

What are the odds of two people flopping a set?

Important Set Over Set OddsScenarioProbabilityOddsIf you have a pair, you hit a set (trips) on the flop11.7551%1:8Being dealt a pair and flopping a set0.6915%1:144If two players have pair, both flop a set1.0176%1:97Heads-up both players are dealt a pair and flop a set0.0024%1:42,3055 more rows•Nov 29, 2021

How often does AK hit the flop?

many opponents assume you'll cbet that flop everytime. Of course, AK won't hit the flop every time…in fact it misses the flop on average 2/3 of the time. This is very standard for hands with unpaired broadway cards, so knowing how to play when the hand misses the flop is crucial.

How often do you flop a pair in Holdem?

Flopping a pair 32.43% are the chances of making a pair on the flop. That doesn't mean you should be playing any two cards, as the same odds apply for players with a higher hole cards.

Outline of the game

The round of Texas holde'em is for the most part, played with multiple players using a standard 52 card deck. Every player is given 2 private opening cards and afterward 5 community cards which are dealt all through the game and are put faceup on the board.

What is a set?

A set is the name given to the combination for three-of-a-kind, when your pocket pair interfaces with a third card of its kind on the shared community board.

Flopping a set

So, what are the odds of flopping a set? To start with, you should be dealt a pocket pair, which will occur about once in every 17 hands.

Hitting a set in a multi-way pot

Flopping a set gradually against one rival can be beneficial, yet doing as such against numerous opponents is a catastrophe waiting to happen. Just the driest of community boards, for example, Kc-8h-3s, will bring a turn card that won't make them stress over a straight or flush, so don't give free cards.

Set-over-set

Being on the bad end of flopping a set which is weaker compared to a greater set is one of the most deplorable circumstances in no-limit hold'em. The chances against it happening are slight, however, you can't add a lot to it – it simply happens some of the time.

Odds of flopping a set

Perhaps the best inclination when playing any variation of Texas Hold'em poker is the point at which you are flopping a set. The odds of flopping a set, if you are not aware, happens when you are holding a pocket pair and make three of a kind on the flop.

What happens if you hit a set yourself in poker?

Of course, the flip side of this is hitting a set yourself, only to find that your opponent has flopped a better set. This is an absolute gut punch and happens to every poker player.

What is the setup in Hold'em?

A: It's the setup in Hold'em that every player dreams of. You are holding a pair in your hand and flop a set, which is a very strong hand in Hold'em. Your opponent, who is also holding a pair as their hole cards, also flops a set.

How many times can you flop a pair?

With two unpaired, unconnected cards the odds of flopping at least a pair are 1:2.1 or 32%. Roughly speaking: you will flop a pair or better once every third flop.

What are the odds of a pocket king winning against a pocket ace?

The odds of pocket Aces winning against pocket Kings are 4.5 : 1. The aces win roughly 82% of the time. If you are holding Kings on a full ring table (9 players), the odds of one of your opponents holding Aces are 1:25 (or roughly 4%).

How many ways to deal pocket aces preflop?

There are 6 ways to deal pocket aces preflop and the probability is 0.452%. The odds for that are 220 : 1. The probabilities are the same for each specific pair.

What is the probability of getting dealt aces twice in a row?

The probability of being dealt aces in one specific hand is 0.45% and the probability of this happening twice in a row is this number squared.

How many ways to deal a king in poker?

There are 16 ways to deal ace-king in poker. 4 different aces can each be matched with 4 different kings. The are four combinations of ace-king-suited and 12 combinations of ace-king offsuit.

What is the most uneven matchup in Texas Hold'em?

A pair versus a an equal an lower card is the most uneven matchup in Texas Hold’em. In the extreme case kings vs king-deuce the king-deuce only has 5% equity.

How many different starting hand combinations are there in Texas Hold'em?

However, many of them are practically identical, e.g. A♥K♣ is exactly the same hand as A♦K♠ before the flop. If you group these identical hands together, you get 169 different starting hand groups – 13 pairs, 78 suited combinations, and 78 off-suit combinations.

What is the poker odds?

In Texas Hold'em, poker odds are THE probability tool you need as a poker player. In fact, you should always be thinking about poker odds - yours and your opponents' - when making decisions. In short, poker odds is the probability of you winning that hand, or the price it offers (pot odds).

How many hands are you likely to hit at least one set?

The probability of hitting at least one set (i.e. you’re dealt a pair and you flop a set with it) over 100 hands is almost exactly 50%. So over 100 hands you’re as likely to hit at least one set as you are to not hit one. Over 500 hands the probability of not hitting a single set drops to only 3%.

What are implied odds in limit hold'em?

Implied odds changes things. For example, in Limit Hold'em your opponent bets $20 into an $80 pot and your call gives you pot odds of 5-1 (you're risking $20 to win $100). But, if you expect your opponent to call a bet or raise on the river if you make your hand, your implied odds are 6-1 or 7-1.

How to calculate poker equity?

To calculate your poker equity - or how often you should win a hand, you can use a simple formula. Count how many outs you have. For example, if you're drawing to a flush, you have 13 suited cards, two in your hand, two on the board - leaves 9 outs. The chance of you hitting on the turn is 9*4 (+4) = 40%.

How many cards do you need for a heads up poker game?

As a matter of fact, for a heads-up game of Hold‘em, you only use 9 cards – 4 hole cards and 5 for the board.

How many cards are left in a deck of cards on a flush?

If you're drawing to a flush, you have two suited cards in your hand and two on the board, that means 9 cards of that suit left in the deck. On the flop, it's 9*4 (+4) = roughly 40% of hitting. Meanwhile, on the turn (so the odds of hitting on the river) is 9*2 (=2) = roughly 20% of hitting.

Can you get 83o twice in a row?

Now anyone can be dealt 83o twice in row and might not even notice this coincidence (because, who cares about those low cards). But if you’ re dealt pocket aces back-to-back, you’ll probably remember this feat for months. Surprisingly this scenario is not as unlikely as you might think. Over 100 hands the odds are roughly 1 to 500; over 1,000 hands already 1 to 50. Over 34,000 hands you’re 50/50 to have been dealt pocket aces twice in a row at least once.

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1.What Are The Odds of Flopping a Set in Texas Hold'em?

Url:https://www.poker-king.com/answers/odds-of-flopping-a-set/

32 hours ago When you hold a pocket pair, the odds of flopping a set are 7.5-1, or roughly 12%. It's important to know the odds, as many people will try to "set mine" when playing Texas Hold'em. This means that you are calling pre-flop bets with your pocket pair, hoping to hit a set on the flop. The idea is that you will stand to win a large pot if you flop a set, while you will be able to quickly toss your hand …

2.Odds of Flopping a Set in Texas Hold'em - GetMega

Url:https://www.getmega.com/cards/poker/strategy/the-odds-of-flopping-a-set-in-texas-holdem/

17 hours ago  · Odds of Flopping a Set in Texas Hold'em Table of content:. What is a set? The most well-known variation of poker games, Texas holdem, is in its prime. Going... Outline of the game. The round of Texas holde'em is for the most part, played with multiple players using a standard 52... Flopping a set. ...

3.What are the odds of flopping set over set? - Quora

Url:https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-odds-of-flopping-set-over-set

16 hours ago  · What Are The Odds of Flopping a Set? Making three of a kind with paired hole cards and a third matching card hitting the board on the flop is known as flopping a set. For example, if you hold 8 ♥ 8♣ preflop, and the flop comes A♣ 8 ♦ 5♠, you’ve flopped a set of eights. With any paired hole card combination, you have about a 10.8% chance of flopping exactly a …

4.What Are The Odds Of a Set-Over-Set In Hold'em? - Poker …

Url:https://www.poker-king.com/answers/set-over-set-odds/

5 hours ago First off, the odds of hitting a set on the flop are about 7 1/2 to one. Do not use percentages or say that you have a one out of 8 1/2 chance. It won't easily help you …

5.Videos of What Are the Odds Of Flopping a Set

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36 hours ago The odds of flopping a set when holding a pocket pair is approximately 12%. The odds of flopping a set when holding a pocket pair AND somebody else flopping a set while holding a pocket pair is roughly 1% (the actual number is a bit over 1%). So if you feel are though you took a really bad beat after losing in a set-over-set situation, you most certainly did, as you had a 1% chance of …

6.What are the Odds of Flopping a Flush in Poker?

Url:https://www.pokercoach.us/poker-explanations/odds-of-flopping-a-flush/

2 hours ago What Are The Odds of Flopping a Set? The odds of flopping a set are about 9.25-to-1 against. This means that if you have a paired hole card combination, there is about a 10. 8% chance of flopping exactly a set.

7.Texas Hold’em Poker Odds (over 100 Poker Probabilities)

Url:https://www.primedope.com/texas-holdem-poker-probabilities-odds/

4 hours ago  · If you’re holding a pocket pair the probability of flopping a set (three of a kind) is 11.8%. The odds are 1 : 7.5. If you have a pocket pair there are 50 cards left in deck. Exactly 2 of those will give you a set, 48 wont. There are

8.How to calculate probability of flopping a set (with pocket …

Url:https://poker.stackexchange.com/questions/9538/how-to-calculate-probability-of-flopping-a-set-with-pocket-pairs

20 hours ago How to calculate probability of flopping a set (with pocket pairs)? So given the Aces I'm already holding, I simply do 2 Choose 1 and calculate the number of combos I can have with the remaining Aces in the deck. Next, for the remaining two cards on the flop that cannot repeat, I do 12 Choose 2. ...

9.What Are the Odds? | Long-Shot Odds in Texas Holdem …

Url:https://www.pokerlistings.com/what-are-the-odds-a-list-of-long-shot-odds-in-texas-holdem

25 hours ago The odds of two players flopping a set are around 1% so it’s extremely unlikely. In other words you probably shouldn’t be folding too many sets when you are just starting out. You can re-asses if the board is particularly dangerous (meaning flush, straight or full house possibilities) but in general don’t worry about it too much.

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